Insights

Key insights for January 2026

Published on 20 February 2026

Twenty-twenty six kicked off with a -1.6% drop in spend from the same month last year. It’s a sea of red (or pink) when casting one’s eye over the last 12 months.

It’s a bit of a Groundhog Day with Groceries & Liquor leading the charge (+3.1%). All other storetypes were in the red. Again. Every transaction at the grocers’ and off licensees’ tills now average $44.90. What will that buy you at the supermarket these days?


New Zealanders are having a real hard time at the moment and collectively dropped spend by -2.1% from same month last year.


But this state of affairs is not homogenous throughout the country. Tasman cardholders continued to lift spend, up +3.5%. Northlanders joined them this month, up +0.1%. All other cardholders contracted spend.


Internationals, bless them (!), increased their spend by +5.5%, with Americans (+13.5%), Indians (+11.9%) and the Brits (+0.6%) driving spend.

Key insights for January 2026

  • Consumer spending dropped -1.6% in January 2026, when compared to January 2025.
  • Transactions dropped more, down -2.5%, showing a continued attempt to contain spend.
  • Groceries & Liquor was the only storetype that saw growth this month, up +3.1%.
  • Internationals increased spend by +5.5%. Key markets of growth include USA (+13.5%), India (+11.9), and UK (+0.6%).
  • Domestics dropped spend by -2.1%. Of note are Tasman District and Northland cardholders who drove spend +3.5% and +0.1% respectively.
  • A storetype breakdown is detailed in the table below:

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